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Nomura Predicts Limited RBI Rate Hikes Amid Moderating Inflation Outlook

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Nomura Predicts Limited RBI Rate Hikes Amid Moderating Inflation Outlook

Analysed 28 Sept 2026·6 sources analysed·New Delhi, India·Business
Nomura Predicts Limited RBI Rate Hikes Amid Moderating Inflation OutlookPreviousNext

Nomura forecasts the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will likely raise interest rates by 25-50 basis points in the current cycle, with possible hikes in October and December, reaching a terminal rate of 5.75%. This contrasts with market expectations of about 125 basis points of increases. Nomura cites moderated core inflation and below-trend growth as reasons for a limited tightening cycle, while noting food prices remain a key near-term inflation risk. The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee meeting is scheduled for early October.

Sentiment
52%
TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 4 sources

We measured how 4 outlets covered this story. No outlet gave this story a measurable political slant — there is no left–right reading to report. Overall sentiment is neutral (52/100). Lens Score 42/100.

Outlets measured: zeenews, economictimes, moneycontrol, zeenews. See how each one headlined and framed the same story in the source comparison below.

AI analysis of 4 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 28 Sept 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Sentiment — Neutral (52/100)

Sentiment was consistent across outlets (50–55/100), indicating broadly factual reporting rather than editorialising.

Coverage timeline

zeenews broke this story on 27 Sept, 08:27 am. Other outlets followed.

27 Sept, 08:27 am4 sources · 22 h28 Sept, 06:16 am
AI analysis by the TBN Bias Engine · beat methodology byMrunal Wange· Business & Economy Editor· editorial standards byOjas Kale
← Previous
India's Forex Reserves Hit Record High Then Decline Amid Market Volatility
Next →
Gold, Silver, and Copper Futures Prices Decline Amid Weaker Demand
  1. 1
    zeenews27 Sept, 08:27 am
    Rate hike odds rise ahead of RBIs October meeting: Economists
  2. 2
    moneycontrol28 Sept, 03:54 am
    RBI likely to hike rates 25 bps in October, December; Nomura sees terminal rate at 5.75 - Moneycontrol.com
  3. 3
    economictimes28 Sept, 04:44 am
    Will RBI announce steep rate hikes? Nomura sees up to 50 bps increase by Dec, dismisses 125 bps hike fears
  4. 4
    zeenews28 Sept, 06:16 am
    RBI likely to cap interest rate hikes at 25-50 bps, inflation could ease in 2027: Report

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
Monetary Policy CommitteeReserve Bank of India
Corporate
Nomura Holdings

Story context

Category
Business
Location
New Delhi, India
Sources analysed
6
Last analysed
28 Sept 2026
Key entities
InflationReserve Bank of IndiaBrokerNomura HoldingsBasis pointCentral bankFood pricesRepurchase agreementUnited States Consumer Price IndexCore inflationIndiaNew Delhi