Early forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and India Meteorological Department suggest a significant chance of El Nino conditions emerging between July and September this year. While La Nina is expected to persist for a few more months, the potential onset of El Nino during India's monsoon season raises concerns due to its association with weaker monsoons and harsher summers. El Nino's impact is critical for India's agriculture, which heavily relies on rain-fed farming and supports a large portion of the population.