
The 16th Finance Commission (FC), whose recommendations apply from fiscal year 2026-27 to 2030-31, maintains the vertical tax devolution rate at 41% while adjusting horizontal distribution criteria among states. It introduced GDP contribution as a new factor, affecting states' shares based on economic performance. The Commission also emphasized fiscal discipline, recommending limits on off-budget borrowings and subsidy rationalization. Some analysts argue the FC prioritizes the Centre's fiscal needs by excluding cesses and surcharges from the divisible pool, potentially reducing states' revenue shares. The FC's role in balancing fairness and efficiency in India's fiscal federalism remains a subject of debate and analysis.
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