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India's Monsoon Shows Mixed Trends with Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast for August-September

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India's Monsoon Shows Mixed Trends with Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast for August-September

Analysed 1 Aug 2026·27 sources analysed·Madhya Pradesh, India·General
India's Monsoon Shows Mixed Trends with Below-Normal Rainfall Forecast for August-SeptemberPreviousNext

India's southwest monsoon showed a mixed performance in 2026, with July delivering near-normal rainfall despite a dry June and ongoing El Niño conditions. While central and western India saw improved rains, northern and southern regions, including the Hindi belt and Kerala, continued to experience significant deficits. The India Meteorological Department forecasts below-normal rainfall for August and September, with less than 94% of the long-period average expected, raising concerns for kharif crops and water resources. Regional variations persist, with some areas likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall amid an overall uneven monsoon distribution.

Sentiment
49%
TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 15 sources

We measured how 15 outlets covered this story. No outlet gave this story a measurable political slant — there is no left–right reading to report. Overall sentiment is neutral (49/100). Lens Score 43/100.

Outlets measured: thefinancialexpress, thefinancialexpress, thehindu, mint, thehindu, businessstandard, mint, thetelegraph, and 7 more. See how each one headlined and framed the same story in the source comparison below.

AI analysis of 15 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 1 Aug 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Sentiment — Neutral (49/100)

Sentiment ranged widely across outlets — from 32/100 to 65/100 — a sign the coverage itself was contested, not just reported.

Coverage timeline

hindustantimes broke this story on 31 Jul, 09:58 am. Other outlets followed.

31 Jul, 09:58 am15 sources · 7 h31 Jul, 05:14 pm
AI analysis by the TBN Bias Engine · beat methodology byOjas Kale· Founder & Editor
← Previous
Indian Railways Launches Special Kanpur-Madurai Trains Starting July 2026
Next →
Madhya Pradesh Monsoon Below Normal Despite July Showers, Rainfall Deficit Persists
  1. 1
    hindustantimes31 Jul, 09:58 am
    Weather Bee: How is India experiencing floods despite a deficit in intense rain?
  2. 2
    indiatoday31 Jul, 11:23 am
    Monsoon defied El Nino threats in July: 101 excess rain, all eyes on August
  3. 3
    economictimes31 Jul, 12:24 pm
    India likely to see below-normal rainfall in second half of monsoon: IMD
  4. 4
    news1831 Jul, 12:32 pm
    Average rainfall in India during second half of monsoon to be below-normal: IMD
  5. 5
    indianexpress31 Jul, 12:39 pm
    India's monsoon hits halfway mark: Why July witnessed prolonged wet and dry spells
  6. 6
    thetribune31 Jul, 12:46 pm
    Average rainfall in India during second half of monsoon to be below-normal: IMD - The Tribune
  7. 7
    zeenews31 Jul, 01:17 pm
    IMD predicts below-normal monsoon rainfall across India in August as El Niño tightens grip
  8. 8
    thetelegraph31 Jul, 01:54 pm
    India's August to September rainfall likely to be below average, says Met department
  9. 9
    mint31 Jul, 02:14 pm
    Weather update: IMD forecasts below-normal rain in August-September; Orange alert in Himachal, Kerala Today News
  10. 10
    businessstandard31 Jul, 02:28 pm
    IMD forecasts below-normal rain in August, second half of monsoon
  11. 11
    thehindu31 Jul, 02:35 pm
    34 monsoon deficit, bleak August outlook set alarm bells ringing in Kerala
  12. 12
    mint31 Jul, 04:28 pm
    IMD sees below-normal August-September rains, reviving inflation fears Today News
  13. 13
    thehindu31 Jul, 04:29 pm
    IMD forecasts 'below normal' rainfall in August
  14. 14
    thefinancialexpress31 Jul, 04:56 pm
    August monsoon likely to disappoint as IMD sees rainfall below 94 of normal, raises crop security concerns
  15. 15
    thefinancialexpress31 Jul, 05:14 pm
    IMD forecasts 'below normal' monsoon in August-September

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
India Meteorological Department

Story context

Category
Generic
Location
Madhya Pradesh, India
Sources analysed
27
Last analysed
1 Aug 2026
Key entities
MonsoonIndiaIndia Meteorological DepartmentEl NiñoCentral IndiaGujaratNortheast IndiaLow-pressure areaPacific OceanKeralaBay of BengalEquator