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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal September Rainfall Following Hottest August Since 1901

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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal September Rainfall Following Hottest August Since 1901

Analysed 1 Sept 2026·24 sources analysed·Kerala, India·General
IMD Forecasts Below-Normal September Rainfall Following Hottest August Since 1901PreviousNext

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts below-normal rainfall across most of India in September 2026, with precipitation expected to be less than 91% of the long-period average of 167.9 mm. This follows a record-hot August, the warmest since 1901, marked by a 16% rainfall deficit. Strong El Niño conditions are cited as a key factor influencing the subdued monsoon, expected to persist and potentially weaken crop yields, water resources, and increase heat stress. Some regions in northwest, northeast, east, east-central, and southeast peninsular India may receive normal to above-normal rainfall.

Sentiment
42%
TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 15 sources

We measured how 15 outlets covered this story. No outlet gave this story a measurable political slant — there is no left–right reading to report. Overall sentiment is neutral (42/100). Lens Score 39/100.

Outlets measured: thehindu, firstpost, indianexpress, freepressjournal, northeastnow, scrollin, zeenews, hindustantimes, and 7 more. See how each one headlined and framed the same story in the source comparison below.

AI analysis of 15 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 1 Sept 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Sentiment — Neutral (42/100)

Sentiment was consistent across outlets (32–52/100), indicating broadly factual reporting rather than editorialising.

Coverage timeline

ndtv broke this story on 31 Aug, 04:54 pm. Other outlets followed.

31 Aug, 04:54 pm15 sources · 22 h1 Sept, 02:39 pm
AI analysis by the TBN Bias Engine · beat methodology byOjas Kale· Founder & Editor
← Previous
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  1. 1
    ndtv31 Aug, 04:54 pm
    Uneven Monsoon Distribution Hides Severe Regional Rain Deficits In India
  2. 2
    thehindu31 Aug, 05:11 pm
    September rainfall to be below-normal, says IMD
  3. 3
    economictimes31 Aug, 07:57 pm
    Cloud computing: Weatherman sees weak rains in September, warns of farm risks
  4. 4
    indianexpress31 Aug, 11:42 pm
    After 16 rainfall deficit in August, IMD says September to remain below normal as well
  5. 5
    indianexpress31 Aug, 11:47 pm
    After 16 rainfall deficit in August, IMD says September to remain below normal as well
  6. 6
    indianexpress1 Sept, 01:35 am
    Mumbai rain: After a dry August, will September bring relief? What IMD predicts
  7. 7
    news181 Sept, 01:43 am
    Will India Have A Rainy September? Weather Agency Says Monsoon May End On A Dry Note
  8. 8
    hindustantimes1 Sept, 01:47 am
    Below normal rain likely in September after warmest August since 1901: IMD forecast
  9. 9
    zeenews1 Sept, 02:23 am
    IMD predicts below-normal rainfall over country in September
  10. 10
    scrollin1 Sept, 07:31 am
    August hottest since 1901, September rainfall likely below normal: IMD
  11. 11
    northeastnow1 Sept, 08:36 am
    India records hottest August since 1901, IMD predicts below-normal September rainfall
  12. 12
    freepressjournal1 Sept, 09:25 am
    IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall In Sep As El Niño May Play Spoil Sport
  13. 13
    indianexpress1 Sept, 12:22 pm
    Why Pune's 31 monsoon surplus could vanish amid grim September forecast
  14. 14
    firstpost1 Sept, 02:17 pm
    Why has the Arabian Sea gone unusually quiet this monsoon?
  15. 15
    thehindu1 Sept, 02:39 pm
    Keralam may witness early summer-like conditions this year as rain deficit set to widen further

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
India Meteorological Department

Story context

Category
Generic
Location
Kerala, India
Sources analysed
24
Last analysed
1 Sept 2026
Key entities
India Meteorological DepartmentMonsoonIndiaEl NiñoLow-pressure areaEquatorPacific OceanTemperatureSouth IndiaCentral IndiaIndo-Gangetic PlainNortheast India