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Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast Amid El Nino Concerns, Drought Risk Rises

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Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast Amid El Nino Concerns, Drought Risk Rises

Analysed 18 Aug 2026·4 sources analysed·Telangana, India·Social
Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast Amid El Nino Concerns, Drought Risk RisesPreviousNext

Skymet has revised its 2026 southwest monsoon forecast downward to 85% of the long period average (LPA), citing a 70% probability of drought due to strengthening El Nino and weak Indian Ocean Dipole conditions. Rainfall deficits have been observed since June, with August and September expected to remain below average. While some regions face water shortages, officials report that overall kharif crop sowing and water needs are largely met, though uneven rainfall may affect yields of certain crops.

Sentiment
38%
TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 2 sources

We measured how 2 outlets covered this story. No outlet gave this story a measurable political slant — there is no left–right reading to report. Overall sentiment is negative (38/100). Lens Score 46/100.

Outlets measured: hindustantimes, economictimes. See how each one headlined and framed the same story in the source comparison below.

AI analysis of 2 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 18 Aug 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Sentiment — Negative (38/100)

Sentiment was consistent across outlets (32–38/100), indicating broadly factual reporting rather than editorialising.

Coverage timeline

economictimes broke this story on 17 Aug, 06:52 pm. Other outlets followed.

17 Aug, 06:52 pm2 sources · 43 min17 Aug, 07:35 pm
  1. 1
AI analysis by the TBN Bias Engine · beat methodology byAniket Awate· Culture & Digital Media Writer· editorial standards byOjas Kale
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economictimes17 Aug, 06:52 pm
Skymet cuts 2026 monsoon forecast, sees 70 chance of drought
  • 2
    hindustantimes17 Aug, 07:35 pm
    Skymet raises drought risk, cuts monsoon forecast to 85 of LPA
  • Who's involved

    Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

    Government
    India Meteorological Department
    Corporate
    SkymetSkymet Weather

    Story context

    Category
    Social
    Location
    Telangana, India
    Sources analysed
    4
    Last analysed
    18 Aug 2026
    Key entities
    El NiñoMonsoonIndiaKharif cropDroughtIndian Ocean DipoleWeather forecastingIndia Meteorological DepartmentLegumeVegetable oilRiceCotton