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Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast, Sees 70% Drought Probability

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Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast, Sees 70% Drought Probability

Analysed 17 Aug 2026·2 sources analysed·New Delhi, India·Social
Skymet Lowers 2026 Monsoon Forecast, Sees 70% Drought ProbabilityPreviousNext

Skymet Weather has revised its 2026 southwest monsoon forecast downward to 85% of the long period average (LPA), citing a 70% probability of drought due to strengthening El Nino conditions and a weak Indian Ocean Dipole. Rainfall from June to July was 13% below LPA, with August and September also expected to see deficits. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has similarly lowered its forecast to 90% of LPA, noting a 60% chance of a deficient monsoon season.

Sentiment
35%
TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 2 sources

We measured how 2 outlets covered this story. No outlet gave this story a measurable political slant — there is no left–right reading to report. Overall sentiment is negative (35/100). Lens Score 46/100.

Outlets measured: hindustantimes, economictimes. See how each one headlined and framed the same story in the source comparison below.

AI analysis of 2 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 17 Aug 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Sentiment — Negative (35/100)

Sentiment was consistent across outlets (32–38/100), indicating broadly factual reporting rather than editorialising.

Coverage timeline

economictimes broke this story on 17 Aug, 06:52 pm. Other outlets followed.

17 Aug, 06:52 pm2 sources · 43 min17 Aug, 07:35 pm
  1. 1
AI analysis by the TBN Bias Engine · beat methodology byAniket Awate· Culture & Digital Media Writer· editorial standards byOjas Kale
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economictimes17 Aug, 06:52 pm
Skymet cuts 2026 monsoon forecast, sees 70 chance of drought
  • 2
    hindustantimes17 Aug, 07:35 pm
    Skymet raises drought risk, cuts monsoon forecast to 85 of LPA
  • Who's involved

    Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

    Government
    India Meteorological Department
    Corporate
    SkymetSkymet Weather

    Story context

    Category
    Social
    Location
    New Delhi, India
    Sources analysed
    2
    Last analysed
    17 Aug 2026
    Key entities
    El NiñoMonsoonDroughtIndian Ocean DipoleIndiaWeather forecastingIndia Meteorological DepartmentKharif cropLegumeVegetable oilNew DelhiCotton