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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026

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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026

Analysed 2 Jul 2026·24 sources analysed·Kerala, India·Social
IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026PreviousNext

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts below-normal rainfall across most of India in July 2026, expecting about 94% of the long-period average (280.4 mm). This follows a 40% rainfall deficit in June, one of the driest since 1901. While most regions may see reduced precipitation, parts of northwest, northeast, east-central, and eastern peninsular India are likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Above-normal temperatures are also predicted, raising concerns for agriculture and water resources during the critical monsoon season.

TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 15 sources

We measured how 15 outlets covered this story. Coverage leans balanced overall (Left 2%, Centre 97%, Right 1%). Overall sentiment is neutral (36/100). Lens Score 30/100 — low public interest.

Outlets analysed (first-hand measurement by TBN's Bias Engine):

  • indiatoday— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • thehindu— balanced framing, negative sentiment
  • ndtv— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • freepressjournal— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • businessstandard— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • english— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • scrollin— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • oneindia— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
Political Bias
2%97%1%
Sentiment
36%
AI analysis of 15 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 2 Jul 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Political bias across 24 sources
● Left 2%● Center 97%● Right 1%

The article group predominantly presents official forecasts and scientific data from the India Meteorological Department without political framing. Coverage includes statements from IMD officials and meteorological experts, focusing on weather patterns and their implications. There is no evident political bias, as the sources uniformly report on meteorological conditions and their potential impact on agriculture and water resources.

Sentiment — Neutral (36/100)

The overall sentiment across the articles is cautiously concerned, reflecting the challenges posed by below-normal rainfall and higher temperatures. While the tone is factual and neutral, the emphasis on potential water stress, agricultural impact, and delayed monsoon arrival conveys a sense of urgency and caution. Positive notes include expected normal to above-normal rainfall in some regions and early monsoon advances, balancing the generally somber outlook.

How 15 sources covered this story

Reviewed byAniket Awate· Culture & Digital Media Writer· Edited byOjas Kale
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Each source's own headline, political lean, and sentiment — so you can see framing differences at a glance.

SourceTheir headlineBiasSentiment
indiatodayMonsoon rain intensity in July depends on two oceans separated by 10,000 kmCenterNeutral
thehinduBelow normal rain forecast for July raises concern for KeralaCenterNegative
ndtvEl Nino Parches India: Below-Normal July Rain Forecast Threatens AgricultureCenterNeutral
freepressjournalIMD Predicts Drier, Hotter July After India Records 5th-Driest June In 125 YearsCenterNeutral
businessstandardIndia's below-normal July monsoon forecast risks Kharif crop outlookCenterNeutral
englishAfter A Dry June, IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall In JulyCenterNeutral
scrollinJuly rainfall expected to be below normal, 40 monsoon deficit so far: IMDCenterNeutral
oneindiaIMD July Rainfall Forecast: India Likely To Receive Below-Normal Rainfall At 94 Of LPACenterNeutral
hindustantimesJuly likely to be drier, hotter than normal: IMD's grim forecastCenterNegative
republicworldIMD Predicts Below-Normal July Rainfall Across India; Monsoon Reaches Himachal A Week LateCenterNeutral
thefinancialexpressBelow-normal rains forecast for July. Above-normal precipitation in Central India may boost kharif sowingCenterNeutral
economictimesClouds over kharif sowing: Met sees below-normal rain in JulyCenterNegative
indianexpressAfter June deficit, July to see below-normal rainfall too: IMDCenterNeutral
news18July to see below-normal rainfall across most of India: IMDCenterNeutral
timesnowIMD Warns of Below-Normal Rainfall in July, June Ends with 40 DeficitCenterNegative

Coverage timeline

timesnow broke this story on 30 Jun, 05:06 pm. Other outlets followed.

  1. 1
    timesnow30 Jun, 05:06 pm
    IMD Warns of Below-Normal Rainfall in July, June Ends with 40 Deficit
  2. 2
    news1830 Jun, 05:17 pm
    July to see below-normal rainfall across most of India: IMD
  3. 3
    indianexpress30 Jun, 05:24 pm
    After June deficit, July to see below-normal rainfall too: IMD
  4. 4
    economictimes30 Jun, 07:04 pm
    Clouds over kharif sowing: Met sees below-normal rain in July
  5. 5
    thefinancialexpress30 Jun, 07:07 pm
    Below-normal rains forecast for July. Above-normal precipitation in Central India may boost kharif sowing
  6. 6
    republicworld30 Jun, 09:56 pm
    IMD Predicts Below-Normal July Rainfall Across India; Monsoon Reaches Himachal A Week Late
  7. 7
    hindustantimes1 Jul, 01:12 am
    July likely to be drier, hotter than normal: IMD's grim forecast
  8. 8
    oneindia1 Jul, 02:43 am
    IMD July Rainfall Forecast: India Likely To Receive Below-Normal Rainfall At 94 Of LPA
  9. 9
    scrollin1 Jul, 03:24 am
    July rainfall expected to be below normal, 40 monsoon deficit so far: IMD
  10. 10
    english1 Jul, 05:00 am
    After A Dry June, IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall In July

Lens Score breakdown

30/100
Public interest0/100
Coverage gap100%

Well-covered story — coverage matches public importance.

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
India Meteorological Department

Story context

Category
Social
Location
Kerala, India
Sources analysed
24
Last analysed
2 Jul 2026
Key entities
India Meteorological DepartmentMonsoonEl NiñoIndiaPacific OceanIndian Ocean DipoleAgricultureNortheast IndiaLow-pressure areaIndian OceanGujaratMadhya Pradesh