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IMD Forecasts Delayed Southwest Monsoon Onset and Below-Normal Rainfall Across India

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IMD Forecasts Delayed Southwest Monsoon Onset and Below-Normal Rainfall Across India

Reviewed byOjas Kale· Founder & Editor
Analysed 31 May 2026·8 sources analysed·Kerala, India·generic
IMD Forecasts Delayed Southwest Monsoon Onset and Below-Normal Rainfall Across IndiaPreviousNext

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a delayed onset of the southwest monsoon in Kerala, likely after June 3, with northeast India expected to receive rains between June 5-10 and most of Maharashtra after June 10. The IMD predicts below-normal monsoon rainfall at 90% of the long-period average, raising concerns for agriculture, especially in Vidarbha due to El Nino effects. While some regions may see heavy rain and thunderstorms, overall rainfall deficits are anticipated across much of India, including the Northeast and Mumbai, which recorded its driest May in three years.

TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 8 sources

We measured how 8 outlets covered this story. Coverage leans balanced overall (Left 0%, Centre 100%, Right 0%). Overall sentiment is neutral (42/100). Lens Score 27/100 — low public interest.

Outlets analysed (first-hand measurement by TBN's Bias Engine):

  • indiatoday— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • thefinancialexpress— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • thefinancialexpress— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • mint— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • freepressjournal— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • indianexpress— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • thehitavadacom— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • theassamtribune— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
Political Bias
0%100%0%
Sentiment
42%
AI analysis of 8 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 31 May 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Political bias across 8 sources
● Left 0%● Center 100%● Right 0%

The article group presents a largely technical and scientific perspective focused on meteorological forecasts and their implications. Sources include government agencies and scientific experts, with no evident political framing or partisan viewpoints. The coverage emphasizes factual reporting of weather data, forecasts, and regional impacts without political commentary or critique.

Sentiment — Neutral (42/100)

The overall tone of the articles is cautious and neutral, reflecting concern about delayed monsoon onset and below-average rainfall but avoiding alarmist language. The sentiment balances acknowledgment of potential agricultural and water resource challenges with factual presentation of weather patterns and forecasts, resulting in a measured and informative mood.

How 8 sources covered this story

Each source's own headline, political lean, and sentiment — so you can see framing differences at a glance.

← Previous
Rain and Thunderstorms Lower Temperatures, Bring Relief Across Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh
Next →
Mullaperiyar Dam Water Level Near 111 Feet with Ongoing Discharge Management
SourceTheir headlineBiasSentiment
indiatodayMonsoon keeps India waiting, but brutal rain and hail to crash the party MondayCenterNeutral
thefinancialexpressMonsoon onset seen after June 3, delay due to weak wind conditionsCenterNeutral
thefinancialexpressMonsoon onset seen after June 3, delay due to weak wind conditionsCenterNeutral
mintRain, thunderstorm seen in many parts, conditions favour monsoon progress: IMD MintCenterNeutral
freepressjournalPune: Monsoon Unlikely To Reach Most Parts Of Maharashtra Before June 10CenterNeutral
indianexpressMumbai records driest May in 3 years despite season's first pre-monsoon rainCenterNeutral
thehitavadacom'Deficit rains in Vid this monsoon'CenterNeutral
theassamtribuneMost northeastern states likely to receive below-normal monsoon rains: IMDCenterNeutral

Coverage timeline

theassamtribune broke this story on 31 May, 03:31 am. Other outlets followed.

  1. 1
    theassamtribune31 May, 03:31 am
    Most northeastern states likely to receive below-normal monsoon rains: IMD
  2. 2
    thehitavadacom31 May, 06:29 am
    'Deficit rains in Vid this monsoon'
  3. 3
    indianexpress31 May, 11:01 am
    Mumbai records driest May in 3 years despite season's first pre-monsoon rain
  4. 4
    freepressjournal31 May, 12:33 pm
    Pune: Monsoon Unlikely To Reach Most Parts Of Maharashtra Before June 10
  5. 5
    mint31 May, 12:52 pm
    Rain, thunderstorm seen in many parts, conditions favour monsoon progress: IMD Mint
  6. 6
    thefinancialexpress31 May, 01:18 pm
    Monsoon onset seen after June 3, delay due to weak wind conditions
  7. 7
    thefinancialexpress31 May, 01:23 pm
    Monsoon onset seen after June 3, delay due to weak wind conditions
  8. 8
    indiatoday31 May, 03:01 pm
    Monsoon keeps India waiting, but brutal rain and hail to crash the party Monday

Lens Score breakdown

27/100
Public interest0/100
Coverage gap80%

Well-covered story — coverage matches public importance.

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
Regional Meteorological Centre NagpurMaharashtra GovernmentAgriculture DepartmentIndia Meteorological DepartmentWeather AuthoritiesDisaster Management Department

Story context

Category
Generic
Location
Kerala, India
Sources analysed
8
Last analysed
31 May 2026
Key entities
MonsoonIndia Meteorological DepartmentIndiaKeralaMaharashtraNortheast IndiaBay of BengalTamil NaduArabian SeaLakshadweepThunderstormHeat wave