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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026

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IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026

Analysed 1 Jul 2026·21 sources analysed·Andhra Pradesh, India·generic
IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall and Above-Normal Temperatures in India for July 2026PreviousNext

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts below-normal rainfall across most of India in July 2026, expecting about 94% of the long-period average (280.4 mm). This follows a 40% rainfall deficit in June, one of the driest since 1901. While most regions may see reduced precipitation, parts of northwest, northeast, east-central, and eastern peninsular India are likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Above-normal temperatures are also predicted, raising concerns for agriculture and water resources during the critical monsoon season.

TBN's observations

First-hand measurement across 15 sources

We measured how 15 outlets covered this story. Coverage leans balanced overall (Left 0%, Centre 100%, Right 0%). Overall sentiment is neutral (39/100). Lens Score 30/100 — low public interest.

Outlets analysed (first-hand measurement by TBN's Bias Engine):

  • freepressjournal— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • businessstandard— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • english— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • scrollin— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • oneindia— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • hindustantimes— balanced framing, negative sentiment
  • republicworld— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
  • thefinancialexpress— balanced framing, neutral sentiment
Political Bias
0%100%0%
Sentiment
39%
AI analysis of 15 sources · Published under editorial oversight by The Balanced News
Analysed 1 Jul 2026· How this analysis is produced· Editorial standards· Corrections

AI Analysis

Political bias across 21 sources
● Left 0%● Center 100%● Right 0%

The article group predominantly presents official forecasts and scientific data from the India Meteorological Department without political framing. Coverage includes statements from IMD officials and meteorological experts, focusing on weather patterns and their implications. There is no evident political bias, as the sources uniformly report on meteorological conditions and their potential impact on agriculture and water resources.

Sentiment — Neutral (39/100)

The overall sentiment across the articles is cautiously concerned, reflecting the challenges posed by below-normal rainfall and higher temperatures. While the tone is factual and neutral, the emphasis on potential water stress, agricultural impact, and delayed monsoon arrival conveys a sense of urgency and caution. Positive notes include expected normal to above-normal rainfall in some regions and early monsoon advances, balancing the generally somber outlook.

How 15 sources covered this story

Reviewed byOjas Kale· Founder & Editor
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Each source's own headline, political lean, and sentiment — so you can see framing differences at a glance.

SourceTheir headlineBiasSentiment
freepressjournalIMD Predicts Drier, Hotter July After India Records 5th-Driest June In 125 YearsCenterNeutral
businessstandardIndia's below-normal July monsoon forecast risks Kharif crop outlookCenterNeutral
englishAfter A Dry June, IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall In JulyCenterNeutral
scrollinJuly rainfall expected to be below normal, 40 monsoon deficit so far: IMDCenterNeutral
oneindiaIMD July Rainfall Forecast: India Likely To Receive Below-Normal Rainfall At 94 Of LPACenterNeutral
hindustantimesJuly likely to be drier, hotter than normal: IMD's grim forecastCenterNegative
republicworldIMD Predicts Below-Normal July Rainfall Across India; Monsoon Reaches Himachal A Week LateCenterNeutral
thefinancialexpressBelow-normal rains forecast for July. Above-normal precipitation in Central India may boost kharif sowingCenterNeutral
economictimesClouds over kharif sowing: Met sees below-normal rain in JulyCenterNegative
indianexpressAfter June deficit, July to see below-normal rainfall too: IMDCenterNeutral
news18July to see below-normal rainfall across most of India: IMDCenterNeutral
timesnowIMD Warns of Below-Normal Rainfall in July, June Ends with 40 DeficitCenterNegative
mintIMD forecasts below-normal rainfall for India in July Today NewsCenterNeutral
thehinduIMD forecasts below-normal rain in July for A.P.CenterNeutral
thetribuneIndia likely to receive below-normal rainfall in July, says IMD - The TribuneCenterNeutral

Coverage timeline

thetribune broke this story on 30 Jun, 02:18 pm. Other outlets followed.

  1. 1
    thetribune30 Jun, 02:18 pm
    India likely to receive below-normal rainfall in July, says IMD - The Tribune
  2. 2
    thehindu30 Jun, 04:05 pm
    IMD forecasts below-normal rain in July for A.P.
  3. 3
    mint30 Jun, 04:27 pm
    IMD forecasts below-normal rainfall for India in July Today News
  4. 4
    timesnow30 Jun, 05:06 pm
    IMD Warns of Below-Normal Rainfall in July, June Ends with 40 Deficit
  5. 5
    news1830 Jun, 05:17 pm
    July to see below-normal rainfall across most of India: IMD
  6. 6
    indianexpress30 Jun, 05:24 pm
    After June deficit, July to see below-normal rainfall too: IMD
  7. 7
    economictimes30 Jun, 07:04 pm
    Clouds over kharif sowing: Met sees below-normal rain in July
  8. 8
    thefinancialexpress30 Jun, 07:07 pm
    Below-normal rains forecast for July. Above-normal precipitation in Central India may boost kharif sowing
  9. 9
    republicworld30 Jun, 09:56 pm
    IMD Predicts Below-Normal July Rainfall Across India; Monsoon Reaches Himachal A Week Late
  10. 10
    hindustantimes1 Jul, 01:12 am
    July likely to be drier, hotter than normal: IMD's grim forecast

Lens Score breakdown

30/100
Public interest0/100
Coverage gap100%

Well-covered story — coverage matches public importance.

Who's involved

Institutions and figures named across source coverage.

Government
India Meteorological Department

Story context

Category
Generic
Location
Andhra Pradesh, India
Sources analysed
21
Last analysed
1 Jul 2026
Key entities
India Meteorological DepartmentIndiaMonsoonNortheast IndiaEl NiñoPacific OceanIndian Ocean DipoleEquatorIndian OceanNew DelhiDelhiLow-pressure area